Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000625 0.000709 0.000799 0.000901 0.001013 0.001133 0.001269
2025-12-14 0.000485 0.000602 0.000733 0.000892 0.001077 0.001286 0.001538
2025-12-21 0.000404 0.000533 0.000685 0.000877 0.001110 0.001382 0.001720
2025-12-28 0.000361 0.000502 0.000675 0.000900 0.001183 0.001522 0.001956
2026-01-04 0.000324 0.000472 0.000661 0.000914 0.001241 0.001642 0.002167
2026-01-11 0.000285 0.000435 0.000633 0.000906 0.001268 0.001723 0.002330
2026-01-18 0.000252 0.000402 0.000606 0.000896 0.001289 0.001794 0.002479
2026-01-25 0.000230 0.000382 0.000594 0.000904 0.001333 0.001894 0.002668
2026-02-01 0.000209 0.000361 0.000580 0.000906 0.001368 0.001981 0.002840
2026-02-08 0.000182 0.000328 0.000546 0.000878 0.001358 0.002007 0.002931
2026-02-15 0.000160 0.000301 0.000517 0.000856 0.001354 0.002040 0.003030
2026-02-22 0.000145 0.000283 0.000502 0.000851 0.001374 0.002105 0.003174
2026-03-01 0.000132 0.000268 0.000489 0.000850 0.001400 0.002179 0.003333
2026-03-08 0.000118 0.000251 0.000471 0.000840 0.001412 0.002234 0.003467
2026-03-15 0.000105 0.000233 0.000452 0.000826 0.001416 0.002278 0.003584
2026-03-22 0.000100 0.000230 0.000455 0.000848 0.001477 0.002403 0.003821
2026-03-29 0.000094 0.000223 0.000453 0.000861 0.001522 0.002508 0.004030
2026-04-05 0.000086 0.000211 0.000440 0.000854 0.001536 0.002565 0.004171
2026-04-12 0.000077 0.000198 0.000425 0.000844 0.001544 0.002614 0.004300
2026-04-19 0.000072 0.000192 0.000421 0.000852 0.001582 0.002708 0.004496
2026-04-26 0.000067 0.000184 0.000414 0.000854 0.001609 0.002785 0.004671
2026-05-03 0.000058 0.000168 0.000392 0.000827 0.001587 0.002787 0.004729
2026-05-10 0.000051 0.000155 0.000373 0.000805 0.001573 0.002799 0.004804